Market Commentary from Ashley Vice, CFA, CFP®

Last year, Barron’s magazine asked ten top strategists to predict where the S&P 500 would end 2020. Their range was 3,000 to 3,700. The final number was 3,756 for a year-over-year return of 16.3%—much better than expected. Had the strategists possessed foreknowledge that a global pandemic would shut down the services economy and send unemployment…

Market Commentary from Ashley Vice, CFA, CFP®

2020 is making it harder to talk about “markets” as if they are a common entity and not thousands of individual companies facing dramatically different challenges and opportunities. I could say that “the market” is up through the third quarter, but that would be a poor description of the year so far. What has really…

Market Commentary from Ashley Vice, CFA, CFP®

Last quarter was unprecedented in many ways. Global economic activity basically stopped as the world sought to slow COVID-19 infections and protect the health care system by ‘flattening the curve’. The efforts seem to be working, with strong evidence that the worst of the contagion has passed. Virus-induced deaths will likely turn out to be…

Coronavirus Update – Part III

In investing, there are years when nothing happens and there are years when decades happen. 2020 will be one of the latter. At today’s close, the S&P 500 is down 29% from the February 19 highs. This is the sixteenth “bear market” in the modern era—defined as a decline of 20% or more from a…